Aaarrrrrrggggggggggggghhhhhhhhhhhhhh!!!! The week that so nearly was! This week saw us get 7 from 7 tips correct and the model continues to be pretty accurate on the margin too (only the Bulldogs smashing the Broncos being an outlier). But despite the very solid tipping we didn't win a H2H bet this week. We only saw value in two games this week, and in both games the bookies saw the underdogs having little chance, with both teams having odds of 3.00 or more at the start of pl

Geelong have been good to us on head to head bets this season. Three times we've bet on the Cats for three wins and a handy return of 5.11 units for our 3 unit bet. So why are anti-Cat? Because is there any danger of them turning up against ordinary opposition!!! Three times now the Cats have killed our multi with losses against Collingwood, Carlton and St Kilda ... Collingwood, Carlton and St Kilda ffs! And just for good measure they are the third side this season that we

Well this week was a bit of an anti-climax. There were only four games due to Origin 2, and we only saw value in one of them, which was the Mebourne Storm against the Dragons. In particular we liked the line at +6, and were relatively confident on this, so included this in two novelty bet recommendations too. Alas, despite a strong finish, the Smith and Cronkless Storm couldn't get up, and finished 10 point losers, a try more than we needed. So no winnings this week but only

The greatest rivalry in Australian sport is back. AGAIN! No, note the Maroons versus the Blues. It’s TipBetPro versus the bookies. Origin 1 – A reminder For those with short term memory issues, Origin 1 was an arm wrestle, peppered with controversial refereeing and a cameo to forget from Dylan Walker. We had had a detailed look at all things Origin before game 1, plugged the teams into the model and out popped the following analysis: Queensland Player Advantage + 6 points NSW

A strong rebound week for TipBetPro after last week's horror show and helped confirm that last week was an anomaly and the model is still growing with confidence (similar to what it has done in prior years) with every round. One key metric we use to measure model accuracy is the margin of error and although luck can obviously play a part, traditionally if we have a model that can average less than a 30 point error, that tends to be a profit making model. For the 4th time in

It is said that Tai Chi is one of the most deadly forms of martial arts – it’s just slowed right down so the old and overweight can keep up. Test Match Cricket is like that, we have the old (Misbah-ul-Haq, Chris Rogers, Adam Voges and Younis Khan), the plump (Inzamam-ul-Haq, Shane Warne (before his mum helped him out) and of course Jesse Ryder) – but despite this, Test Match cricket is arguably still the most skillful of all forms of cricket. Much like Tai Chi and Test Match

Sooooooo ... this is awkward ... ummmmm sorry about that! What a disaster - the worst week in the 5 year history of TipBetPro with just 2 of 9 tips (4 less than favourites!) and losing every bet ... 11 of them across head to head and novelties ... it was an absolute disaster! So let's take a quick look at the Head to Head and where it all went wrong: Port vs Dogs: To be honest we are not unhappy with this bet. Port had more Inside 50's and more scoring shots than the Dogs b

​Before we get to far into this weeks write up, a small disclaimer. This week has been very disappointing and we may use some expletives later on. So if you are easily offended, are under the age of 18, or are my grandmother, please stop reading now. So firstly the good points. The model predicted the Broncos would be slight favourites, to the tune of 8 points, but the odds on the Raiders made it a value bet. The Broncos did win by 8, so well done model, and the Raiders showe

So as we enter the halfway point of the season, we wanted to take a look at which teams have done us proud and which have let us down so far this season in our tips. Well TipBetPro knows North! We have correctly tipped North in every game over the first half of the season … so when you see that we've tipped the Roos to upset the Cats this week … get on the Roos! Other strong sides in the TipBetPro model are Essendon (no surprises that our model hasn’t tipped the Dons this s

It would be fair to say when we launched TipBetPro NRL this year, despite the extensive back testing, we weren't too sure if we could replicate the success of our AFL model. NRL is a more difficult game to predict. There are a lot more "upsets" and form seems to come and go. Players switch clubs, it seems on a weekly basis, injuries abound and of course there's match fixing to contend with too. But what we have discovered is, that if you can do a better job than the bookies