There is a very rare phenomenon (well we don’t think it’s happened before) which is the theme of this week’s TipBetPro feature article – both the NRL and AFL minor premiers from 2015 sit bottom of their respective tables. For any NRL fans out there – we’ve taken a look at the fall from grace of the Roosters. But here – we’ll be taking a look at the reasons behind the spectacular collapse of Fremantle. In 2015 Fremantle lost just 5 games on their way to their first minor prem

There is a very rare phenomena (well we don’t think it’s happened before) which is the theme of this week’s article – both the NRL and AFL minor premiers from 2015 sit bottom of their respective tables. As such, we thought we’d have a look at the reasons and see if the teams have a common tale of woe (AFL story to come) The NRL story The tables from 2015 and round 8 this year look like this: There are some striking stats that can be gleaned from this: The two years are almost

WOW.................What a week for TipBetPro and their followers. Brisbane to win by more than 14 - yep 22 points - get in Canberra to win - yep 54 points - get in Canberra to win by more than 6 - yep by 54 points - get in Dragons to win - yep 2 points - get in (and BoTW) Dragons to win with a 2.5 head start (they won so yes) - get in Brisbane, Canberra, Cronulla, Dragons and Cowboys to win - Oh yes - get in! The model predicted some blow outs this week, with every game o

THUD! Ah betting you fickle beast ... last week's heroics were quickly forgotten as our best round of the season was followed up with our worst. So let's take a look at what went wrong. West Coast ... as it turns out West Coast don't like the rain. After a promising start against the Swans, the rain came and the Eagles collapsed as Sydney's ball movement was far superior to the Eagles and they ran away to a comfortable victory. Once again the Swans are showing predictions

This week we are taking a look at those players that have been in the system a while (minimum 30 games) and are enjoying a break-out 2016 season. Break-out Seasons So the table above shows that Jason Johannisen is TipBetPro’s number 1 ranked break-out season player … which makes it even more frustrating that he is out for an extended period after tearing his hamstring in Round 4! What about the others – are the four round break-outs sustainable? Will Taylor Adams, Dylan Shi

TipBetPro is a player based statistical model used to predict the outcome of NRL, AFL and shortly cricket matches (first match is England v Sri Lanka in May). For those who follow us you will know our model is heavily weighted to the 17 players who take to the field ever week – with experience (games played) and player rankings (similar to supercoach scores but adjusted mainly to reward more defensive attributes) being the main contributors to a margin prediction. Based on pl

This is what we said last week: 'What a week for followers of TipBetPro - 2 of the 3 H2H bets came in, including the Bet of The Week (BoTW) which saw Manly defeat NZ and bring in a rather tasty 3.05 ......To make things even better our AFL arm of TipBetPro decided to join in the fun and the AFL BoTW (St Kilda at 2.85) also came romping home." Well roll on a week, and we can just write it again.........what a week. Across AFL and NRL we recommended 12 bets (units) and had a

What a great week! On Friday we finalised TipBetPro's relationship with sportsbet.com.au (speaking of which, if you haven't already, use this link to support TipBetPro and open an account!) ... and over the weekend we set about taking them to the cleaners. A clean sweep of wins across all head to head, margin and multi bet recommendations and a highly profitable Bet of the Week win for Brisbane meant a huge weekend for followers of TipBetPro. However, being the modest folk w

For this week’s TipBetPro AFL feature article, we are taking a look at the stars (and duds) of the AFL by experience level. Our player ranking methodology places a weighting on experience with teams that have a lot of 100-200 game players rated higher by the TipBetPro model (after 200 games, statistics tell us that player performance begins to decline). This is all based on historical data and experience has often been a key factor in the difference between winning and losin

TipBetPro is a player based statistical model used to predict the outcome of NRL, AFL and shortly cricket matches (first match is England v Sri Lanka in May). The model is based on the principle of “value betting” – which in essence means it is an approach to gambling for long term profit. The concept of long term is an important one, as from match to match and week to week the model will not always get it right – but over the longer term, and especially a full season we are