AFL Round 5 Wrap-up
THUD! Ah betting you fickle beast ... last week's heroics were quickly forgotten as our best round of the season was followed up with our worst. So let's take a look at what went wrong.
West Coast ... as it turns out West Coast don't like the rain. After a promising start against the Swans, the rain came and the Eagles collapsed as Sydney's ball movement was far superior to the Eagles and they ran away to a comfortable victory. Once again the Swans are showing predictions of their demise were well off the mark with their mature players showing no signs of being in decline whilst their young players were again impressive demonstrating they have more depth than we gave them credit for pre-season.
Port Adelaide - we are really starting to despise Port Adelaide. As an underdog bet we thought the value was good on Port at home and that looked a fair call when they got 4 goals up. Why with momentum on their side, the Power thought that was the moment to instigate an all-in brawl we'll never know but a fired up Cats recovered after quarter time to smack the Power as for the 2nd week in a row, the Power seemed better at gutless cheap shots than actually winning the hard ball.
Thankfully - both West Coast and Port Adelaide got us our money back due to the generous "money back if lead at any change" special at sportsbet.com.au - the same cannot be said for Richmond. TipBetPro have long profited on the back of betting against Richmond ... so we were slightly disappointed when our model told us to bet on Richmond this week (and not just that but make them our Bet of the Week!). We suspected we were in trouble when clear number 1 ranked Tiger Brett Deledio was a late withdrawal and our fears were realised as Melbourne continued their impressive form to notch up their 3rd win for the season. We noted at season start that Melbourne did not have a single player rated as elite by the TipBetPro model ... but as discussed in our break-out season feature article last week, Max Gawn and Jack Viney are well on the way to becoming stars and they were once again the catalyst for an upset Dees victory.
So, a bad week in all respects but not all bad news as we remain comfortably positive for the season ... here's some charts to show how much we hated this week ... now go check out the NRL wrap-up for this week, that makes happier reading!