NRL Round 15 Wrap


Well this week was a bit of an anti-climax.

There were only four games due to Origin 2, and we only saw value in one of them, which was the Mebourne Storm against the Dragons. In particular we liked the line at +6, and were relatively confident on this, so included this in two novelty bet recommendations too.

Alas, despite a strong finish, the Smith and Cronkless Storm couldn't get up, and finished 10 point losers, a try more than we needed.

So no winnings this week but only the one H2H bet, so it was a bit of all or nothing.

In the other 3 games, the model predicted the correct winner and overall the margins were ok too, so no panic stations at TBP. In the last 4 weeks we have had average margin errors of 9,8,15 and 9. So 3 of the 4 weeks have been our best in terms of margin error. For the first two we had 9,8, the returns were over 100% so looking forward to getting back on the winning horse.

And we now move on to the small matter of Origin 2. See our special write up which is out.

Until next week!!


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