AFL Round 15 Wrap


We commented last week that Geelong have irritated us this season after costing us three multis. Well Sydney are quickly coming up alongside the Cats on our irritation list after costing us a good paying multi for the 2nd time this season - both times with the last kick of the game (first against Richmond and this time against the Dogs). So all of our 5 multis that have finished just one leg short have been cost by either Geelong or Sydney ... so if you see a Cats or Swans supporter on the street (or better still a player), kick them in the shin or something for us will you?

Otherwise it was another good week for TipBetPro AFL. Although Bet of the Week Richmond didn't look like getting up that was mitigated by having Port Adelaide 1-39 as well as Port in our multi as we took advantage of the specials available on sportsbet. We still finished narrowly up on head to head betting as Collingwood for the 2nd week in a row proved undervalued by the bookies against a clearly inferior opponent and Adelaide gave us a few scares before getting the job done against Melbourne.

The Pies and Crows doubled up the goodness for us by also covering their respective lines and along with the Port 1-39 victory that was enough to ensure a big win on novelties for the week despite Essendon not quite covering their line and missing out on the multi (although we got money back on that one!)

So season to date and we stay in the black and with sportsbet reintroducing their "money back if lead at any change" special, we are confident of a strong finish to the season.

That confidence is boosted by a 6th week in 7 where we beat our 30 point margin of error metric and a third consecutive week beating 25 points suggesting the model is strengthening as we get into the closing third of the regular season.

Back to a full round next week - look forward to it!


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